Friday, March 8, 2013
The importance of a mutual fund portfolio
Thursday, March 7, 2013
Mutual Funds: investing in fixed income
Wednesday, March 6, 2013
What is an Index Fund?
Monday, March 4, 2013
Index funds: The mutual fund for most investors.
Sunday, March 3, 2013
Mutual Fund Investing: Buying a mutual fund for the first time
Thursday, February 28, 2013
What is a mutual fund?
Wednesday, December 21, 2011
Your Retirement Plan in 2012
This article originally appeared at BlueCollarDollar.com and was written by Paul Petillo
"Time is free, but it's priceless. You can't own it, but you can use it. You can't keep it, but you can spend it. Once you've lost it you can never get it back." Harvey MacKay
One of the key elements in any financial transaction is time. If you want to retire, you must consider the amount of time. If you want to borrow, how long you have to pay it back can be translated into dollars and cents. Investing; timing they suggest can't be down but is important nonetheless.
If you are twenty, time is on your side. If you are thirty, there is time left. If you are forty, time is of the essence. If you are fifty, time is running out. If you are sixty, where has the time gone. And older than that, time is no longer on your side. It accompanies us through life like some dark passenger. It reflect back on us from the mirror. And when we look at our retirement plan, it stares at us without guilt or shame. Time is the truth.
When I first began writing these predictions, and I've been churning out these year end ditties for over a decade, many were laced with optimism, some with an urging that we learn the lesson and move forward armed with knowledge of past mistakes, and still others were exercises in reality. In 2012, we have some opportunities and some problems awaiting us, left on the table as we symbolically turn the calendar wiping out 2011. But it won't leave quietly.
So I have a few thoughts about what you can do - resolutions of sorts but not the drastic sort we make and break almost within hours of promising ourselves at midnight.
Increase your contribution I start with this obvious chant for two reasons: you aren't making a large enough contribution and two, I would be remiss in not telling you this right from the start. And I'm not just speaking to those with a 401(k).
There are the millions of you who are forced to (and because of that are not likely to) finance your own retirement through an individual retirement account. We lament at the worker who literally only has to sign up at his workplace and doesn't. And far too often, we say little about the person who has to sign-up (after finding a fund), commit with a fortitude that is somewhat lacking and to contribute some of their paycheck via direct deposit every week or month. That effort, it seems is a much more involved hurdle.
In 2012, the investment world will be little changed. It will roil and confuse and gyrate and possibly even nose dive - just as it has for decades. It will react to news - if not from Europe form China or even the presidential elections (which ironically tend to be excellent years to invest). This will have you second-guessing your investments. But this will only apply if you have no idea how much risk you can take.
Pay attention to diversification You may not be capable of rebalancing, the act of making sure that your investments are directed evenly across many investments. This is much harder than it seems. As long as you are involved - and that is YOU in capitals - the struggle to keep balance will not get any easier.
For the vast majority of us, mutual funds will be the investment vehicle of choice. These investments will see more movement towards fee reductions. Which is a good thing. Fees will and always have been a subtraction of gains. This makes an excellent argument for indexing.
Choosing six index funds across the following cross-sections of the markets will not solve the problem of rebalancing (some will do better than others) but it will provide diversification. Index the largest companies (an S&P 500 fund), a mid-cap fund (the next 400 companies in size), small-caps (the next 2000), an international fund (an index of the largest countries (those with established banking systems even if they are currently troubled and will continue to be so in 2012), an emerging market fund (after international funds, the most risky) and a bond index (one that covers as much fixed income as possible).
Some of you will wonder if exchange traded funds (ETF) wouldn't be just as good if not better than simple indexing. In 2012, ETFs will continue to drill down ever deeper into sectors of the markets that add risk along with the illusion of an index. ETFs will become more actively managed in 2012 offering you more risk at a lower cost. Cheap doesn't mean better. 2012 will be year of the ETF. If you are unsure what these investments are, consider this conversation I had with David Abner of Financial Impact Factor Radio recently to help explain what these investments are and how they work.
Focus on your financial well-being This refers to your credit score. It continues to impact your financial future and will become increasingly harder to ignore. A new credit rating service agency will add to the difficulty in 2012 and not only will the current scoring impact costs such as insurance, it will seek to trace the breadcrumbs of your financial life more thoroughly that the big three do.
There is little likelihood that the job market will increase as many of our returning troops will flood the marketplace, taking numerous jobs from your kids just out of college. Which means another year with your kids at home. The only answer to this problem is to continue to tighten down your budgets in 2012. As I mentioned earlier: "If you are forty, time is of the essence. If you are fifty, time is running out. If you are sixty, where has the time gone."
And you must do this understanding that inflation - not the reported number but the real number in your grocery bill - will still chip away at your wealth. This means you will move in two opposite directs in 2012: saving and investing more for your fleeting future (at least 6% but 10% would be best) and spending less in the present (easy of you don't use credit).
And the housing market will improve for those who have repaired any damaged credit or who have saved enough of a down payment to buy a house. people are still buying and selling. These people have found that while the market is not accessible to all, it is for those that have done right by their personal finances.
Do all of that this may not seem like a new year - but it will be a better year!
Thursday, July 7, 2011
In Your Retirement Plan: Should ETFs Be Considered?
Mark Twain suggested: "The reason we hold truth in such respect is because we have so little opportunity to get familiar with it." This will be the selling point for exchange traded funds: you will hear that they are less expensive, that they are better than the mutual funds - many of them indexed, and that you should own them in your 401(k).
They will suggest you overlook the cost of trading them, the fact that they tempt you to trade them more frequently than ou would a mutual fund and in doing so, allow you to follow the herd on any given day, a behavioral no-no for every investor. So what exactly is the attraction that they want us to see? Are mutual funds better or worse than ETFs?
The answer depends on who you are. If the sort of investor who believes that they can make small moves to harness big gains, then you should probably avoid the lure of ETFs. Exchange traded funds are mutual funds that can be traded just like stocks. They tend to have lower fees than their comparable cohort the mutual fund but the commissions that brokers charge for these trades tend to erase the advertised returns you might get.If you are the sort of investor who buys to hold, then the surprising choice would be ETFs. Yet you will need to harness the inner trader in you that wants to succumb to the temptation to trade. This sounds easy. But in truth, is no easy feat.
So let's run some numbers comparing a total stock market ETF sold byVanguard and a total stock market index sold by the same company. The ETF (trade as VTI) carries and expense of 0.07%. The mutual fund version of the same thing (bought as VTSMX) levies a 0.18% fee on investors. The former has no minimum investment,; the later wants $3,000 to begin. So we'll start there and propose a hopeful return over 10 years of 4%.
In the first calculated example, the investor made no additional contributions to the investment. Vanguard does suggest that they charge no brokerage fees but they do charge a $20 annual fee for the account. This might be much higher when accessing these funds through your 401(k) and there may be additional brokerage fees. So we'll assume a $10.00 brokerage fee - as I said, yours might be lower and in most cases, the brokerage charge is on both ends of the transaction.
Based on the above numbers, the ETF, once purchased and held begins to creep past, in terms of raw returns by the third year. By the 10th year, you will have saved about $19.41 in fees giving you a net gain for your ETF of $32.82.
But begin adding to the security on a regular basis (say $200 a month) and the differences are much more notable. To add to the ETF in equal proportions over the same 10 year period would cost you $1021 in commission costs and with this money not working for you, the sacrifice in what each would be worth at the end of the 10-year investment period used in our example in addition to the trading cost would leave you with over $1200 less in the ETF account.
Inside a 401(k), where regular contributions rule the way you invest, ETFs can give the average investor less of an opportunity than proponents suggest they will. In a taxable account, bought without commissions such as Vanguard offers and purchased in large lump sums, ETFs slightly trump their mutual fund siblings.
Will you take the time to learn the truth about yourself before making the decision on which investment is better? You are the debate.
Saturday, July 2, 2011
A Long Journey to Even: Mutual Funds at the Halfway Point in 2011
But you would have been much better off had you done absolutely nothing. Back in those desperate times, many people did what the rest of the herd did as stocks began to tumble. You sold. But three years later, that would have proved to be the wrong thing to do. During that period, most folks fled the actively managed mutual fund, particularly the domestic issues in favor of bond funds and in far too many instances, to target date funds.
Let's consider the indices that are often compared to the riskier funds, a benchmark that has proven to be less than accurate in terms of performance. The Dow and the S&P 500 track the largest companies, a group that has struggled to assure the investor that dividends and size were enough to best the market. Turns out, that picking and choosing, as actively managed funds do, would have been the better approach.
Two things come into play. One, these funds tend to have higher fees. Less those fees, you would have still found yourself in a better position than had you simply put your money in a benchmark S&P 500 index.
And secondly, there is the liquidity issue that comes with buying mid-cap and small-cap companies. Liquidity refers to the amount of stock available in smaller companies weighed against the amount of stock held by the principals. This makes these companies more volatile and even under-purchased in indexes that track those larger markets (the Wilshire 5000 for instance may track all available stocks but the indexes crafted based on this index only own.
To complicate matters somewhat, the Wilshire 5000 actually has 5700 stocks in the index, Wilshire 4500 is the Wilshire 5000 without the S&P 500 stocks in it. A Wilshire 5000 index fund (usually called total market index) will probably own around 4000 stocks. A Wilshire 4500 index contains those same stocks less the top 500 companies.
As Mark Hulbret noted in a recent column for Marketwatch, "According to a report produced earlier this week by Lipper (a Thomson Reuters company), 45% of the domestic-equity funds for which they have data back to October 2007 were, as of the end of May, ahead of where they were on the date of the stock market’s all-time high."
So the indexes are lower than where you would have been had you stayed put - of course this is based on the assumption that many of you where using actively managed funds in your 401(k) plans, that many of those funds did not have indexes available and the post 2007 products such as target date funds or even ETFs, weren't a consideration or even an option during those days. You embraced risk and ignored fees and looking at your portfolio, that was probably seen as a good thing.
Does that mean index funds shouldn't be part of your portfolio? The simplest answer is no. Index funds still provide a low cost and low turnover environment to invest in. More importantly, the largest cap indexes add dividends to the mix. This brings these investments closer to the domestic out-performance over the last half of the year.
Diversity in this investment environment, which is still far more volatile than anyone would like it to be, with global issues remaining a major concern, means taking a little less - in terms of performance. You should be in index funds now. To do this would be considered a defensive move for those that kept the actively managed faith.
A portfolio of five, perhaps six index funds, tracking sectors from the S&P 500, a mid-cap index, a fund tracking the small-cap, an international index (which tracks the companies of what is considered the developed world), an emerging markets index (contains investments from countries like China, India, Russia, Brazil and others) along with a bond index. This sort of diversification keeps the low cost features of index funds and avoids any crossover investment (owning the same stocks in different funds).
You can be proud of your investment accumen in getting back to those 2007 highs and perhaps beyond. But show your real prudence and protect what you have done. This economy, both domestic and globally is far from recovered and the stock market is painting a better picture than reality suggests. Being a little defensive at this juncture will keep you in the game without risking what you have gained.
Friday, May 27, 2011
Our Wonderfully Modern Investor Brains
Thursday, March 31, 2011
Retirement Planning: Mutual Funds are a Risk But Not a Risk
At a recent conference held in February, Doug Elliot asked the question: "So, if you’re going to define systemically important financial institutions you have to have some concept of what systemic risk is. And you have to have some way of measuring it, at least in some subjective manner. And are then setting a threshold to say where does something go from having too little systemic risk to worry about to enough that it should be treated separately here?" Mr. Elliot is well known as a former investment banker, former head and founder of COFFI, his own think tank, and a very prolific and insightful writer on financial reform issues with a book soon to be published titled "Uncle Sam in Pinstripes".
The biggest fear is what is known as a domino effect. Essentially, if a number of SIFI act in unison or a number of institutions engage in the same financial activities with an SIFI labeled entity, failure would knock one, then the next over, creating a systematic breakdown. But identifying who is at the greatest risk is a lot tougher than it sounds. Mr. Elliot points out that both irrational panic, such as a run on a bank creates, and rational panic, such as identifying the problem but making a wrongheaded assumption that whatever the problem is, it isn't really that bad, can both add to the systematic tumbling of one institution, and then another.
The recent crisis had a component about it that it turns out isn't all that unusual. In fact, most of the problems in the recent history all possess the same problems: assets that were overvalued and folks knew it and leverage that was chasing it, even if it knew it was overvalued. This embracing of risk is what causes systems to break and in some cases, have the potential for bringing the whole of the economy down with it.
Given their size, mutual funds were considered as well in the discussion (which can be found here). They are not directly leveraged nor are they intermediaries (such as insurers and re-insurers) or affiliates of larger financial institutions. In fact, mutual funds are generally referred to as pass-through entities. But some funds have worried regulators based on their size. But that size is not threatening if it isn't used as leverage.
The one exception Mr. Elliot pointed out was the money market mutual fund, an entity that many believe is, or should I say, was, as a safe as a bank - at least in the mind of the average investor. A buck, they thought was always a buck, until one moment during the financial crisis, when a MMF declared ti wasn't. Investors were told that there was risk. But with this sort of situation having never occurred, the risk was set aside for most investors.
While mutual funds may have escaped the scrutiny of those studying these financial risks, hedge funds, institutional investors (pensions) and some investment firms have not. Just because some funds fit some of the criteria, of which six are listed, doesn't mean that the Frank-Dodd regulations would necessarily miss this group altogether. They do have size but because of the number of funds available, they provide numerous substitutes for the services and products they provide investors.
There is an adequate degree of separation from other financial firms, an borrowing that they may do (leverage) is clearly stated by most funds in their charter. While many of the largest funds do face some liquidity risk if investors lose faith in the ability of the fund to perform, it usually occurs as a dribble of discontent rather than a one day sell-off. Mutual funds tend to keep a limited amount of cash on hand so a sell-off would be something that whole of the marketplace would be experiencing rather than just a handful of large funds (which all tend to be indexed to the market and not actively managed entities. In truth, funds that become too large, tend to lumber when attempting to move in either direction.
Those large index funds are passive. But some large bond funds may not be but their size keeps any sort of maturity mismatch from occurring. And the existing level of regulatory oversight provided by the SEC is seen as adequate to protect the overall system from any imminent problems.
Although MMF aren't necessarily problematic, as the Investment Company Institute, the lobby arm of the industry points out: "a liquidity backstop could provide reassurance to investors and thereby limit the risk that liquidity concerns in a single fund might spur in-creased redemptions". There is a possibility that hedge funds might see this as an opportunity to roll what they do into into mutual funds. But the regulations provided by the SEC make this not as attractive.
It may be too soon for the mutual fund industry to breath a sigh of relief. While one or more of the 243 rules and 59 studies commissioned by Dodd-Frank may still find mutual funds in the crosshairs of the reform law, the industry believes that this will not happen.
Wednesday, January 12, 2011
How Free is Free when it comes to Retirement Planning Advice?
- When can I afford to retire?
- Will I have enough saved by retirement?
- How much can I spend in retirement?
- Which investments are best for me?
Thursday, December 30, 2010
Using Mutual Funds in 2011 for Investment Success
Wednesday, March 31, 2010
The Tax Day Prompt: Review Your Retirement Plan
Tuesday, February 2, 2010
Should You use Annuities in Retirement?
The Obama Middle Class Task Force is looking to annuities as a way to make retirement just a little more secure. While they have come up with numerous incentives, they should also consider a fixed lifetime tax on all retirement income up to a certain amount. They have discussed this for the first $10,000 of annuity income but they could also extend this incentive to IRAs as well. If the retiree (or future retiree) could determine how much of a bite taxes would take, they could better estimate how much they will actually get when they retire. Currently, the assumption is that retirees will earn less and therefore be taxed at a lower rate. Guaranteeing that rate will enable folks to project better.
Unless you or the insurer passes away! More on annuities at Target2025.com
Saturday, January 2, 2010
Five Investment Questions for 2010
Is longevity important? Yes, but not necessarily the fund’s length of service.
Does size matter? How do you determine size would be of greater importance.
Who’s your Daddy? The larger the company the greater the likelihood your fund has orphan funds embedded in your portfolio.
How so do you diversify? A little of this, a little of that
Most of us look at the turn of a calendar year with the hope that the investment mistakes we made in the previous year will not be made in the new one. This is noble and in many cases futile. These attempts are usually too difficult to handle, which is why, in many cases you haven't done anything before this point.
But with little effort, you can change how you invest. For the vast majority of us, investing requires far too much time. It requires continued education (which I fully recommend), frequent monitoring (which can involve little more than opening your statement just to make sure your investments are going where you intended) and a clear-cut understanding of where you are on the timeline (beginning to invest or at it for awhile).
Altering bad investment habits is not that difficult. Five Tips for 2010...
Paul Petillo is the Managing Editor of Target2025.com
Friday, December 11, 2009
Dividends in Mutual Funds
Could you recap briefly for our listeners what we have already discussed?
Our discussion about dividends has offered a brief overview of what they are: profits paid back to the shareholder of record, and how you can buy them directly: through direct stock purchase of through dividend reinvestment plans or DRIPs. By far, the easiest way to take advantage of what these companies offer shareholders is to spread the risk and the time you might take looking for them by using mutual funds.
When we look at mutual funds that pay dividends, what are we looking for exactly?
This group of mutual funds is often referred to as 'equity income'. They are stocks that provide income and fund managers in this space are looking for good stocks selling for less than what they perceive which means they are hunting for value and stocks that pay a dividend. Keep in mind, this was much easier to do just a few short years ago.
Why is that?
There was a tax advantage to these types of funds and in the pre-bailout economy, many companies were increasing their dividends because of it. Since then, many companies, particularly those with a financial component (like GE and GM) or businesses focused on the financial sector (such as Citigroup) have either suspended or reduced their dividend in response to those changes in fortune. Currently, there are about 296 stocks that pay a dividend of some sort. In fact, holding an S&P 500 index fund will net you a dividend yield of about 2.5%. That 2.5% is what equity income funds use as the number to beat.
Are all dividend paying stocks the same?
Not at all. There is a term for it: dividend payout ratio. In the thirties, this ratio was about 90% - that's roughly ninety cents for every dollar made was given to shareholders. Now it is about 30% or less. This is a good rule of thumb for investors. If your stock is paying more than 30% of their profits back to shareholders, this might be a sign of trouble (if you consider that this percentage has gone up while the share price, a vote of investor confidence has gone down). If it is paying less the 30%, the company might be overvalued by the markets or simply in too much trouble to pay enough of the profits to shareholders.
Any last thoughts?
Keep in mind that dividends are backward looking, reflecting profits from the past year. If companies cut their dividends because profits were down, raising or reinstating them might not happen until next year. A lot of companies are going to buy back shares of their own businesses in large part because they are still cheap and because doing so, increases the price of the stock by making less shares available.
Look for companies that have been able to increase dividends over a long period of time (like McDonalds (dividend payout ratio: 52%), Pepsi (dividend payout ratio: 54%), Kimberly-Clark (dividend payout ratio: 55%) or a mutual fund that has beaten the S&P500 average payout of 2.5% (Columbia Dividend Income 2.47%, Nicholas Equity Income, yield 3.12%)
Paul Petillo is the Managing Editor of Target2025.com
Tuesday, November 10, 2009
Is Roth IRA Investing Different?
Yes and No.
In a traditional IRA, the money you invest is done so on a tax deferred basis. Money you invest in a Roth IRA has been taxed, leaving only your earnings on those investments taxable at the date of your retirement. Because you paid taxes on the money you have put in, it is essentially yours to remove at any time. But once you do, although you will not face the tax or penalties associated with withdrawing invested dollars from a Traditional IRA, it still hampers the overall investment.
In both plans, the money is set aside (invested) for the future. It is not meant to be taken out before you retire - for any reason. Doing so will take potential growth off the table and this will change any projections you may have made based on assumed growth and potential retirement distributions, no matter how small.
The inside workings of these two types of IRAs is essentially the same. Although Roth 401(k) plans have surfaced recently, Roth IRAs have gained acceptance as a way for folks to continue to invest for their future in lieu of pensions and 401(k) plans. This makes the Roth IRA perfect for the investor who has maxed out every other form of tax-deferred investment.
Which makes the Roth IRA not so ideal for those looking to pay less taxes now by deferring those taxes until a time when their income will be less (most retirement planners will point to an annual income post-work of 75% of your current/future earnings as a benchmark for your retirement plan's success). Using a Roth may seem attractive at first glance, but unless you are swimming in invest-able dollars, it might be wise to keep the tax deferred plans fully funded first.
If you have, your current fund family, broker or bank will be a good first place to look. If you do, you should have a working knowledge of how to solve those nagging allocation and diversification problems (be careful to avoid buying funds that have similar investment goals in both your Traditional IRA and your Roth IRA - although they seem different, they still belong to you), fund expenses and fees (I'm assuming that if you have already committed to a group of funds in your tax-deferred accounts, they are already inexpensive compared to their peer group and in some instances, to the benchmark) and the overall performance of the offerings (look long-term, preferably longer than five years).
Once that is accomplished, you can invest in a Roth IRA with exactly the same discipline you would any other investment. You should understand your objectives, have a relatively decent grasp on your own investing behaviors and tolerance for risk, and do so with an eye on investing as inexpensively as possible.
Paul Petillo is the Managing Editor of BlueCollarDollar.com
Sunday, October 4, 2009
Risk: It is What You Don't Know that Matters
I bumped into this anonymous morality tale about these topics, okay about how not revealing important information to those involved can place you in a compromising situation, one that we were all in just a year ago.Consider the story of the naked wife.
A man is getting into the shower just as his wife is finishing up her shower when the doorbell rings. The wife quickly wraps herself in a towel and runs downstairs. When she opens the door, there stands Bob, the next door neighbor. Before she says a word, Bob says, “I’ll give you $800 to drop that towel.” After thinking for a moment, the woman drops her towel and stands naked in front of Bob.
After a few seconds, Bob hands her $800 dollars and leaves. The woman wraps back up in the towel and goes back upstairs. When she gets to the bathroom, her husband asks,…
“Who was that?” “It was Bob the next door neighbor,” she replies. “Great!” the husband says, “Did he say anything about the $800 he owes me?”
Moral of the story:
If you share critical information pertaining to credit and risk with your shareholders in time, you may be in a position to prevent avoidable exposure.
Saturday, September 19, 2009
Your 401(k): The Odds are Not in Your Favor yet...
You need to do three things:
First is start early enough in your working career to make the plan work for you. Age is the biggest factor in your retirement success, Time allows your plan to go through the numerous corrections that these plans need in order to function properly.
Markets have ups and downs. because you add a fixed amount each paycheck, you cannot buy more when the markets are expensive; instead you buy more when the markets are cheap. A steady stream of cash headed into these plans (pretax) basically ensures that you will have far more invested than those who spend a good deal of time trying to beat the market, time the market or otherwise trying to outsmart the market.
If you begin investing later in your career, you will have to set aside substantially more than your younger counterpart. Once you commit to this, do not adjust your contribution downward. Instead, look to your personal financial world to make budgetary adjustments. Fixing debt issues, getting your mortgage to a reasonable rate that will show a zero balance when you do retire, and living on a fixed income (long before it is actually fixed) all will help you reach the rarefied air of financially secure.
Second is a little more complicated: how much is enough? The question of how much you put away depends on many factors. But one thing is certain, five percent minimum will not alter your take home pay. Will that give you enough?
Folks will use the innumerable calculators found online to try and determine how much they will need. The correct way to make these assumptions is not in the total amount you might have accumulated but in the amount of money you will need to withdraw once you retire. Four percent per year will, in almost every circumstance, allow you to never outlive your money. And that is the goal. If you can safely say that the 4% mark is enough based on the way you are contributing, you will be fine. If not, it is time to step it up a notch. Time is wasting.
(If you company has suspended or eliminated their matching contribution, do not stop investing.)
Third is more complicated still: where to put your money? This is well-discussed yet in many conversations, misses the mark. Index funds, found in almost every 401(k) have low fees and low-risk. What you want is low fees and enough risk to grow that money.
Your 401(k) is a tax-deferred plan, meaning you pay the taxes later in life when it is assumed that you will be earning less and in a lower tax bracket. Why then would you want a tax-efficient fund in your plan? This kind of investing will be counterproductive to your goals. Spread your investment dollar over a series of investments in your plan, diversifying among growth (large-cap, mid-cap, and small-cap) and funds that offer some out-of-the-country exposure (it is a global economy that doesn't always act the same way domestic market do - they can actually do better).
Fees (what your mutual funds charge to invest for you and sometimes what your plan sponsors charges for the paperwork they do) however are what most folks should look at more closely. Most plans are flawed in this respect. If you are a small company employee, you may be able to get your plan changed. Larger companies move much more slowly and often do not respond to the wishes of a small group. But you can try and encourage your co-workers to do so as well.
Time, steady contributions and a close eye on the cost of your fund are some of the key elements in your retirement success. And it all relies on you doing something for your future.